Indian National Congress Party has a slight advantage in Himachal Pradesh predicts Axis My India– TVTN Exit Poll

Shimla/Dharamshala, 5 December, 2022: Axis My India – TVTN Exit Poll predicts an edge for Indian National Congress Party with 30 – 40 seats. Himachal Pradesh, which went for a single-phase voting on November 12 recorded a voter turnout of 74.6% across a total of 68 constituencies. Axis My India – TVTN Exit Poll has further forecasted Bharatiya Janata Party to secure 24-34 seats and Others (BSP, RDP, CPM/CPI & IND) to secure 4-8 seat share respectively. APP expected to get nil seats in the hill state. In Kangra, and Shimla Congress is expected to lead with 15 and 11 seats respectively, while BJP is expected to lead in Mandi with 13 seats.

Vote share (%)

Indian National Congress represents an advantage in the poll bound state of Himachal Pradesh. The party reflects 44% vote share followed by Bharatiya Janata Party at 42%, Others (BSP, RDP, CPM/CPI & IND) at 12% respectively. Aam Aadmi Party expected to receive only 2% vote share. Congress predicted to lead in Kangra and Shimla with 46% vote share and 44% vote share respectively while the saffron party expected to win secure 44% vote share in the Mandi region.

Himachal Pradesh Exit Poll Seat & Vote Share, Source: Axis My India

Commenting on the prediction, Mr. Pradeep Gupta, Chairman & Managing Director, Axis My India said: “The incumbent government and the Congress party will square-off in a bipartisan election in the hill state. The state, which has a trend of switching governments since 1985, may end up making history if the BJP returns to power. In order to sway anti-incumbency votes, the saffron party is relying on “Modi euphoria” and the dependence of the state on federal funding. Anti-incumbency against the current BJP state govt. was noticed in Urban areas, particularly in Shimla & Kangra regions. At the same time, no visible anti-incumbency was noticed in Rural & Mandi regions. In a small state like HP, with 68 assembly seats, there were 22 BJP rebels which seem to be damaging BJP’s prospect. In addition to independents and rebel leaders, their ideology and potential role may be pivotal in government formation in the state.”